WSOP Pot-limit Hold'em $1500 -- steal attempt:your thoughts?
We're 5-6 hours into the tournament. Started at 1000 players, down to 250-300. Top 100 get paid. Blinds are 100-200. I get moved to a new table with about 2100 chips. I'm not in desperation mode yet, but there is only 15 minutes left until the 150-300 level and I'm the short-stack at this table.
Haven't played any hands yet at this table (about 1 orbit gone by so far). Most hands are taken down with one raise before the flop. There has not been any limped hands yet. Don't have any good reads yet, but nobody has a read on me either.
I'm in the BB. Six players limp to me. I have nothing much, just T7s. Of course I can just check and see the flop, but there is now 1200 in the pot, over 1/2 of my stack and enough to give me a bit of room to play some more. I'm a little concerned with the UTG limper but I'm thinking that if I bet the pot (200 to call and then a raise of 1400) I'm having a hard time coming up with many hands that someone would have limped with but not raised. Now the UTG limper could have a small pair or an AT or KQ type hand, but would he want to risk most of his stack (he only has about 2k) with 5 more people yet to act? After him, what kind of hand would someone just limp with and now call 1400 more if they didn't make the raise themselves? Of course the better players will realize that I might be making a move here, but still there seems to be a good chance that I have a pair or a good ace, so calling would seem risky.
The hands I'm really concerned about are pairs of 8 or higher and perhaps two overcards, but would these hands just limp and now call me?
Anyway, I decide that the opportunity seems too good to not bet the pot. Plus, the hands that might call me here would reasonably be a small pair where I'm just about 50/50 and getting almost 2-1, or two overcards where I'm about 35% to win, but am getting the proper pot odds. Anyway, I do bet the pot, and everyone starts to fold as planned until we get to a late position guy who ends up forcing me to put in my last 700 or so chips and he turns over AJs. I'm pretty surprised he didn't raise the 4 limpers in front of him with this hand, but I still feel that I made the right move -- of course I didn't improve and my move back-fired.
So what do you think of this move? Was it too risky, or do you think it made sense and the risk was worth the potential reward at this point in the tournament? I'm not trying to be results oriented here, just wanted to know if the move was okay.
Thanks in advance.
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