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Old 03-24-2009, 10:50 AM   #2 (permalink)
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You said you were tired, so I thought I'd help with the edit:

1. Assuming no antes, blinds would have to be 7.5K/15K to take a pot of $30K to the flop.
2. Tran is in position and can't check/minraise. He just min-reraised.

Other than that I really like your thought process here, though I don't think the K on the turn is quite as irrelevant as you do, as it makes sense as a 2 pair hand or as flop air that caught vs Phil's weak 3rd pair.