Quote:
Originally Posted by lakong
Bumboklaat. Not sure where you get your 11/1 implied odds but the actual odds of hitting the set on the flop are about 7.5-1. So let's see... Bond doesn't say how much he raised but I assume it's 3x and he gets called. So when it gets to the SB there are 7.5BB in the pot. So now the SB is faced with calling 2.5BB and he only needs to make a little less than 19BB for this to be profitable (or 11.5BB more). If he hits his set he will very likely stack Bond and get the right odds, if not tons more since there is another guy in the pot. I really think this was an easy call. I'm not sure where you are coming from on this.
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7.5 to 1 is correct and I'll agree w/ what you said. He's getting 3 to 1 immediate odds and he only needs to make 4.5x more on his call to make it profitable LT. I'd definitely consider folding to a SS UTG raise, but w/ a caller in there to juice the odds and increase the possibility of taking a stack when you hit your set, I'd peel a flop off w/ 88 as well. If he misses the flop, his hand should be fairly easy to play post flop or he could have also considered a "stop-n-go" as a viable move here w/ a mPP.
Bond is SPR committed to the hand, so a stop-n-go is probably a bad option at this point. Though I'm not sure how much SPR plays a role in tourneys as much as it does in cash.