| The following chart presents the odds/percentages for improving
your hand past the flop. The
chart is based on the number of potential outs you have and how many remaining board cards are left
(either one or two). Many poker
players commit these odds to memory.
A short-cut to knowing the exact odds is to multiple the number of
OUTS you have by 2, if you have only one card left to see, or 4, if you have
2 cards left to see. For example,
if you have 9 outs on the flop (e.g., you have four to a flush and need one
more of your suit to complete your hand), you'll hit your flush card 19% of
the time with one more card to come and 35% of the time with two more to
come. To get an approximate
probability, simply multiple the 9 outs by either 2 (18% chance) or 4 (36%
chance). |
|
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|
| # of Outs |
Common
Examples |
On the flop for the turn |
On the turn for the river |
On the flop for the turn and river combined |
| 1 |
|
2.1% (46.0 to 1) |
2.2% (45.0 to 1) |
4.3% (22.5 to 1) |
| 2 |
Making a set |
4.3% (22.5 to 1) |
4.3% (22.0 to 1) |
8.4% (10.9 to 1) |
| 3 |
Hitting your single overcard |
6.4% (14.7 to 1) |
6.5% (14.3 to 1) |
12.5% (7.0 to 1) |
| 4 |
Two pair to full house OR gut shot straight draw |
8.5% (10.7 to 1) |
8.7% (10.5 to 1) |
16.5% (5.1 to 1) |
| 5 |
Made pair, need either set or two pair |
10.6% (8.4 to 1) |
10.9% (8.2 to 1) |
20.4% (3.9 to 1) |
| 6 |
Two overcards needed to make a pair |
12.8% (6.8 to 1) |
13.0% (6.7 to 1) |
24.1% (3.1 to 1) |
| 7 |
Made the set on flop, chance of making full house |
14.9% (5.7 to 1) |
15.2% (5.6 to 1) |
27.8% (2.6 to 1) |
| 8 |
Open-ended straight draw |
17.0% (4.9 to 1) |
17.4% (4.8 to 1) |
31.5% (2.2 to 1) |
| 9 |
Flush draw |
19.1% (4.2 to 1) |
19.6% (4.1 to 1) |
35.0% (1.9 to 1) |
| 10 |
|
21.3% (3.7 to 1) |
21.7% (3.6 to 1) |
38.4% (1.6 to 1) |
| 11 |
Flush draw + pair needed to improve to trips |
23.4% (3.3 to 1) |
23.9% (3.2 to 1) |
41.7% (1.4 to 1) |
| 12 |
Gutshot straight + flush draw |
25.5% (2.9 to 1) |
26.1% (2.8 to 1) |
45.0% (1.2 to 1) |
| 13 |
|
27.7% (2.6 to 1) |
28.3% (2.5 to 1) |
48.1% (1.1 to 1) |
| 14 |
|
29.8% (2.4 to 1) |
30.4% (2.3 to 1) |
51.2% (1.0 to 1) |
| 15 |
Open-ended straight + flush draw |
31.9% (2.1 to 1) |
32.6% (2.1 to 1) |
54.1% (0.8 to 1) |
| 16 |
|
34.0% (1.9 to 1) |
34.8% (1.9 to 1) |
57.0% (0.8 to 1) |
| 17 |
|
36.2% (1.8 to 1) |
37.0% (1.7 to 1) |
59.8% (0.7 to 1) |
| 18 |
|
38.3% (1.6 to 1) |
39.1% (1.6 to 1) |
62.4% (0.6 to 1) |
| 19 |
|
40.4% (1.5 to 1) |
41.3% (1.4 to 1) |
65.0% (0.5 to 1) |
| 20 |
|
42.6% (1.4 to 1) |
43.5% (1.3 to 1) |
67.5% (0.5 to 1) |
| 21 |
|
44.7% (1.2 to 1) |
45.7% (1.2 to 1) |
69.9% (0.4 to 1) |
| 22 |
Open-ended straight + flush draw + two overcards |
46.8% (1.1 to 1) |
47.8% (1.1 to 1) |
72.2% (0.4 to 1) |
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| *
If you know the percentage probability and want to convert to odds, divide
the probability into 100 and then subtract 1. For example, to convert 20%
probability to odds, you would divide 20 into 100 (100 / 20 = 5) and subtract
1 to get 4 (e.g., 4 to 1 odds). |
| Note: TwoRags.com is grateful to BruceZ for his help with this
and other odds charts within www.tworags.com. Bruce is a moderator on
and frequent contributor to www.twoplustwo.com, the leading poker forums on
the web. |
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