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Matchups - On the flop

 
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Matchups - On the flop



Ok, he called your preflop bet and the flop's a mess. Now what? Remember, the average winning hand in hold 'em is two pair. Be careful with TPTK, but if you're holding two pair, chances are you're in pretty good shape. Below are the headsup win/loss precentages for a variety of post-flop situations.
Overcards vs pair        
       
  Board 5h 2c 8d      
       
    win % tie %   odds
  As Kd 26% 0%   2.9 to 1
  Th Tc 74% 0%   0.3 to 1
             
Overcards vs open-ended straight draw    
       
  Board 7c 8d 9s      
       
    win % tie %   odds
  As Kd 51% 2%   1.0 to 1
  2h Tc 47% 2%   1.1 to 1
             
Overcards vs flush draw        
       
  Board 7c 5c 2c      
       
    win % tie %   odds
  As Kd 47% 0%   1.1 to 1
  Tc 4h 53% 0%   0.9 to 1
             
Overcards vs open-ended straight, flush draw  
       
  Board 7c 8c 9c      
       
    win % tie %   odds
  As Kd 32% 2%   2.1 to 1
  2h Tc 66% 2%   0.5 to 1
             
Overpair vs underpair, open-ended straight draw  
       
  Board 7s 8h 9c      
       
    win % tie %   odds
  Ks Kh 61% 2%   0.7 to 1
  Td Tc 38% 2%   1.6 to 1
             
Overpair vs underpair, flush draw      
       
  Board 2c 5c 9c      
       
    win % tie %   odds
  Ks Kh 58% 0%   0.7 to 1
  Qd Qc 42% 0%   1.4 to 1
             
Overpair vs underpair, open-ended straight, flush draw
       
  Board 7c 8c 9c      
       
    win % tie %   odds
  Ks Kh 39% 1%   1.5 to 1
  Td Tc 59% 1%   0.7 to 1
             
Overpair vs two pair        
       
  Board Kh Jd 6c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  Ac Ad 27% 1%   2.7 to 1
  Kc Jc 73% 1%   0.4 to 1
             
Top pair, top kicker (TPTK) vs two pair      
       
  Board Kh Jd 6c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  Ac Kd 15% 1%   5.9 to 1
  Kc Jc 85% 1%   0.2 to 1
             
TPTK vs overpair less than top kicker      
       
  Board Qh 6c 2s      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  Ac Qd 20% 0%   4.0 to 1
  Kc Kh 80% 0%   0.3 to 1
             
TPTK vs set          
       
  Board Kh Jd 3c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  Ac Kd 4% 0%   27.2 to 1
  3h 3s 96% 0%   0.0 to 1
             
TPTK vs flush draw        
       
  Board Kh 7d 2d      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  Ac Ks 61% 0%   0.6 to 1
  Td 9d 39% 0%   1.5 to 1
             
TPTK vs open-ended straight draw      
       
  Board Kh 7d 6h      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  Ac Ks 66% 0%   0.5 to 1
  9d 8c 34% 0%   1.9 to 1
             
TPTK vs open-ended straight, flush draw    
       
  Board Kd Th 9h      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  As Kc 45% 0%   1.2 to 1
  8h 7h 55% 0%   0.8 to 1
             
Two pair vs open-ended straight draw      
       
  Board Kh 8c 7d      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  8s 7h 70% 0%   2.3 to 1
  5d 6s 30% 0%   0.4 to 1
             
Two pair vs flush draw        
       
  Board Jc 8c 7d      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  8s 7h 65% 1%   2.0 to 1
  Ac 5c 34% 1%   0.5 to 1
             
Two pair vs open-ended straight, flush draw  
       
  Board Kh 8c 7c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  8s 7h 51% 0%   1.0 to 1
  6c 5c 49% 0%   1.0 to 1
             
Two pair vs Two pair        
       
  Board Ac Ks 9h      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  As Kh 92% 0%   0.1 to 1
  Kd 9d 8% 0%   11.2 to 1
             
Set vs open-ended straight draw      
       
  Board Th 9s 3c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  3s 3h 74% 0%   0.3 to 1
  8c 7d 26% 0%   2.9 to 1
             
Set vs flush draw        
       
  Board Th 9h 3c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  3s 3d 74% 0%   0.3 to 1
  Ah 5h 26% 0%   2.9 to 1
             
Set vs open-ended straight, flush draw      
       
  Board Th 9h 3c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  3s 3h 58% 0%   0.7 to 1
  8h 7h 42% 0%   1.4 to 1
             
Two pair vs set          
       
  Board 8c 7d 3h      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  8s 7h 17% 0%   5.0 to 1
  3s 3h 83% 0%   0.2 to 1
             
Set vs set          
       
  Board 8s 7d 3c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  8s 8h 96% 0%   0.0 to 1
  3s 3d 4% 0%   22.0 to 1
             
Set vs straight          
       
  Board 7d 6h 3c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  4s 5s 65% 1%   0.5 to 1
  3h 3d 34% 1%   1.9 to 1
             
Set vs flush          
       
  Board 8c 7c 3c      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  Ac Kc 66% 0%   0.5 to 1
  3s 3d 34% 0%   1.9 to 1
             
Trips vs flush draw        
       
  Board Ks Kd 2d      
           
    win % tie %   odds
  Ac Ks 74% 0%   0.3 to 1
  Td 9d 26% 0%   2.9 to 1
             
Flush vs TPTK, nut flush draw      
       
  Board 2h 7h Qh      
       
    win % tie %   odds
  Kh 8h 68% 0%   0.5 to 1
  Ah Qs 32% 0%   2.1 to 1